Draft Lottery: Harris, Aron looking for lucky bounces

Draft Lottery: Harris, Aron looking for lucky bounces
May 21, 2013, 12:15 pm

Before the Sixers target a player for the upcoming NBA draft on June 27 they must first learn where they will select. That will happen Tuesday evening at the NBA Lottery in Manhattan.

The Sixers are one of 14 teams that qualified for the lottery by not making the playoffs.  A year ago, the Sixers went 35-31 and came within one victory of reaching the Eastern Conference Finals. This season, the Sixers finished 34-48, which put them four games behind the Milwaukee Bucks for the final playoff spot in the East.

The Sixers finished tied with the Toronto Raptors for the 11th-worst record in the league. Because they won a coin flip, the Sixers will have the 11th-best chance to win the lottery, while the Raptors will have the 12th.

The NBA’s weighted lottery system assigns the most ping pong balls (and thus a higher probability of winning) to the team with the worst record. The second-worst team has the second-best chance to land the top pick and so on down the line until you reach the 14th-worst team, which will be the longest shot to secure the number one selection.

The Sixers would have to get extremely lucky to secure the first pick. They have a 0.8 percent chance of selecting first overall and a 90.7 percent chance to pick 11th.

The Orlando Magic (20-62) had the worst record in the NBA this season and now have the best odds (25 percent) to grab the number one selection. After that, the Charlotte Bobcats (19.9 percent), Cleveland Cavaliers (15.6 percent) and Phoenix Suns (11.9 percent) have the best chance to pick first. Go here to find a full list of all 14 lottery teams and their odds.

Depending on which mock draft you prefer – and there are many – the number one overall pick is currently forecasted to be Kentucky center Nerlens Noel. The 7-foot, 206-pound freshman showed promise as a shot-blocker and rebounder before tearing his ACL this season.

The Sixers will likely pick long after Noel is off the board. NBC Sports’ partner Roto World has the Sixers selecting Duke center Mason Plumlee with the 11th pick. ESPN.com has the Sixers taking Indiana center Cody Zeller, while CBSsports.com forecasts French center Rudy Gobert to go 11th overall.

Each team will send a representative to New York for the lottery. According to a tweet by Sixers CEO Adam Aron, both Aron and majority owner Joshua Harris will attend on behalf of the organization.

ESPN will broadcast the lottery beginning at 8:30 p.m.