Start the clock: 2013 NFL mock draft No. 1

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Start the clock: 2013 NFL mock draft No. 1
February 3, 2013, 2:00 pm
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1. Kansas City - Luke Joeckel*, OT, Texas A&M
Andy Reid loves to build teams from the interior out, and while the QB position is going to be his main concern heading into 2013, he can't stomach making Geno Smith the top pick. With LT Branden Albert a free agent, Joeckel can slide in as a starter for the next 10 years.

2. Jacksonville - Damontre Moore*, DE, Texas A&M
The Jaguars are desperate for a pass rusher, and Moore is the best 4-3 rush end in the draft.

3. Oakland - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
The Raiders are going to say goodbye to both Richard Seymour and Tommy Kelly, so there is going to be a gaping hole at DT. Lotulelei has star-potential if his effort matches his physical talent.

4. Philadelphia - Dee Milliner*, CB, Alabama
With a possible change to a 3-4 defense this offseason, the Eagles likely will have several holes to fill. That said, the secondary is still their biggest concern. Chances are all four starters from 2012 could (should) be replaced, and in the pass-happy NFL, legit corners are not a dime-a-dozen. Milliner doesn't have the physical talent of the top CBs from the last two drafts (Patrick Peterson and Morris Claiborne), but his size, smarts and physical play make him stand out. Now, they'll just need to find three other guys to fill out the rest of the back end.

5. Detroit - Bjoern Werner*, DE, Florida State
The Lions will see DEs Cliff Avril, Willie Young and Lawrence Jackson hit free agency this offseason, and Kyle Vanden Bosch is 34. Werner, a German national, has been playing football for just five years but was named 2012 ACC Defensive Player of the Year. A well-rounded DE prospect, Werner should continue to get better with experience.

6. Cleveland - Jarvis Jones*, DE/OLB, Georgia
This is a bit of a reach for the Browns since Jones is projected as a 3-4 OLB, but Jones could do for them what Von Miller has done for Denver. The Browns' defense is already solid, and adding a dynamic pass rusher like Jones should make it even more difficult to handle.

7. Arizona - Eric Fisher*, OT, Central Michigan
Left tackle has been a trouble spot for the Cardinals for a long time. Levi Brown is coming back from an injury, but he was never a star on the left side. While QB is their top priority, shoring up the blind side is a nice consolation for new head coach Bruce Arians.

8. Buffalo Bills - Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
The shine is off Ryan Fitzpatrick, and the regime in Buffalo is determined to find a long-term solution to their post-Jim Kelly QB carousel. Smith isn't perfect, but he's got loads of physical ability to work with. He's the best of a poor QB class.

9. NY Jets - Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon
While I could also see Chance Warmack going here, Jordan is too dynamic to pass on. Long-time OLB Bryan Thomas is a free agent, and his backup is Ricky Sapp. Enough said.

10. Tennessee - Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
Perhaps the safest pick in the draft, Warmack is a devastating blocker (see National Championship Game) and should make both Jake Locker and Chris Johnson happy.

11. San Diego - Lane Johnson*, OT, Oklahoma
In an effort to keep Philip Rivers in one piece, the Chargers reach for Johnson, a fast riser after an impressive week of practice at the Senior Bowl. Johnson, a former QB and TE, has the quick feet and size to play the left side in the pros.

12. Miami - Cordarrelle Patterson*, WR, Tennessee
The Fins need to start surrounding their promising QB Ryan Tannehill with weapons. Patterson is a physical phenom whose best days should be ahead of him.

13. Tampa Bay - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
As much as I'm amazed by Ronde Barber's longevity, the Bucs need to continue rebuilding 2012's historically bad secondary. And for the second year in a row, they take the draft's best safety (Mark Barron in 2012).

14. Carolina - Sheldon Richardson*, DT, Missouri
The Panthers have play-makers on the outside now in Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy but lack play-making ability in the middle of the defensive line. Richardson has some off-field baggage but is perhaps the quickest DT in the draft.

15. New Orleans - Ezekial "Ziggy" Ansah*, DE, BYU
The Saints' defense was abysmal in 2012, from front to back, so there's no doubt they'll concentrate on that side of the ball during the draft. Ansah is a former track athlete who is still learning the game. He has tremendous speed up the field but needs work on just about everything technique-wise. The Saints will most likely be parting ways with right DE Will Smith this offseason, so finding a complement to Cameron Jordan is a priority.

16. St. Louis - Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
The Rams need to keep Sam Bradford healthy, and Cooper, while not quite the caliber of Warmack, is an immediate upgrade to their interior line.

17. Pittsburgh - Keenan Allen*, WR, California
The Steelers and Mike Wallace are not long for each other, as the speedster is an unrestricted free agent (UFA). Allen is the big receiver the Steelers haven't had since Plaxico Burress' first stint with the team.

18. Dallas - Sam Montgomery*, DE, LSU
The Cowboys are switching to the 4-3 under Monte Kiffin, so DeMarcus Ware will be putting his hand on the ground as a DE. Anthony Spencer, the other OLB Dallas who would need to get in a three-point stance, is an UFA. Montgomery got overshadowed by teammate Barkevious Mingo at LSU but was the more productive of the two.

19. NY Giants - Barkevious Mingo*, DE, LSU
Osi Umenyiora's tenure in NY could be over, and the Giants will need to replace his pass rush ability. Mingo, at this point, is a one-trick pass-rushing pony but has the athletic ability and growth potential to become a well-rounded DE. Manti Te'o would be a nice fit here too with Chase Blackburn an UFA, but I can't imagine how Te'o would do under that microscope.

20. Chicago - D.J. Fluker*, OT, Alabama
The Bears are endlessly looking for tackles to protect Jay Cutler and rarely succeeding (Chris Williams and Gabe Carimi are the last two failed attempts). Fluker is purely a RT but should be an upgrade over Carimi (who has been moved inside) and retread Jonathan Scott.

21. Cincinnati - Matt Elam*, S, Florida
With SS Chris Crocker an UFA, and little depth at the position, the Bengals reach a little early for safety help. Elam is an excellent tackler who not only isn't afraid to mix it up at the line of scrimmage but also has the speed and instincts to excel in coverage.

22. St. Louis (from Washington) - Sharrif Floyd*, DT, Florida
The Rams took Michael Brockers in the first round last season and continue to build an impressive D-line with the selection of Floyd, a versatile and quick tackle who played both inside and out for the Gators.

23. Minnesota - Alec Ogletree*, LB, Georgia
Both MLB Jasper Brinkley and OLB Erin Henderson are UFAs, and the speedy Ogletree, who played ILB at Georgia, can play either of those positions.

24. Indianapolis - Johnathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia
The Colts need to get bigger and stronger defensively, and they don't get much bigger than Jenkins (6-4, 359). He'll be a perfect fit at NT in Indianapolis' 3-4 defense.

25. Seattle - Zach Ertz*, TE, Stanford
The Seahawks give star QB Russell Wilson another option on offense in the sure-handed Ertz. Big (6-6, 252) and fast, Ertz will give Seattle a dangerous weapon down the middle of the field and in the red zone.

26. Green Bay - Manti Te'o, LB, Notre Dame
The Packers could be an ideal spot for Te'o — a small town, nurturing atmosphere. Plus, the Pack really need help at inside linebacker, where A.J. Hawk continues to disappoint.

27. Houston - DeAndre Hopkins*, WR, Clemson
The Texans never have adequately given Andre Johnson help at WR. Hopkins is a solid (6-1, 200) pass catcher with some of the best hands in the draft.

28. Denver - Johnathan Hankins*, DT, Ohio State
Both of Denver's starting DTs, Justin Bannan and Kevin Vickerson, are free agents. Hankins is a big presence (6-3, 320) in the middle who may need to improve his conditioning a bit.

29. New England - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
The New England secondary continues to be its weak link. Trufant has the speed and quickness to be a shutdown corner and should be able to start immediately.

30. Atlanta - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
The Falcons need a pass rusher, but with no one jumping out at this point they grab Tony Gonzalez's heir apparent. Eifert is a notch below Ertz but will still give Atlanta that over-the-middle threat.

31 (or 32). Baltimore - Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
The Ravens are thin on the defensive line. Nose tackle Ma'ake Kemoeatu is a free agent, and Terrence Cody is a part-time player until he gets in better shape. Williams is massive (6-3, 320) and extremely strong, with the athletic ability to swing out to DE if needed. Could be scary next to Haloti Ngata.

32 (or 31). San Francisco - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
Whether Randy Moss comes back or not in 2013, the Niners need to find another dynamic pass catcher. Austin is small (5-9, 175), but lightning quick (4.38 second 40-yard dash time), and should be able to thrive in the slot. He could be a dangerous return man too.


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