Programming Note: Drexel takes on ODU at 2 p.m.; Their Tourney Hopes Hang in the Balance

Programming Note: Drexel takes on ODU at 2 p.m.; Their Tourney Hopes Hang in the Balance

If you've thus far missed the Drexel bandwagon, today is a really good day to hop on.
The Drexel Dragons will meet the Old Dominion Monarchs in the semifinal round of the CAA Tournament at 2 p.m. Both old and new Dragons fans will be able to watch the game on the Comcast Network (or, for your online viewing pleasure, ESPN3).
We'll break it down a little more after the jump, but (in a nutshell) today is a very important day for Bruiser Flint and his team.
A victory over ODU Sunday will put the Dragons within just win of guaranteeing themselves their first NCAA tournament berth since 1996. It would be their first postseason appearance of any kind since a 2007 trip to the NIT.
At now 26-5, one would think that record should be good enough for an at-large bid to the field of 68 regardless of how the CAA tourney unfolds. 
But maybe it isn't.

We knew the Dragons' NCAA hopes relied on a solid performance in the CAA tournament -- namely, winning it -- but we didn't know just how bad things were until Dave Jones published this piece on CSNPhilly.com yesterday. Despite the cults of personality that surround certain prognosticators, bracketology is not an exact science; that said, Jones labeling Drexel with a 10 percent chance at an at-large bid should they fail to win the CAA title was a pretty clear message that things are far from set for the Dragons.
So why is a team 26-win team who won its regular season conference title, 24 of its last 25 games and 18 in a row barely on the bubble?
Two acronyms: RPI and SOS. These are abbreviations you can choose to love or hate, but, either way, have to know.
The Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) is a combination of a team's winning percentage, their opponents' winning percentage and their opponents' opponents' winning percentage. Strength of Schedule is roughly a calculation of your opponents' overall winning percentage. These two factors are why the Dragons are in so much trouble.
While Drexel is 74th in the RPI standings, they are also the owners of the 264th-best strength of schedule in the nation, according to RealTimeRPI.com.
For the full read of just how poor the Dragons' overall resume really is (RPI, SOS, Wins against Top 100 opponents, Losses to >100 opponents, out-of-conference wins, in-conference SOS), we encourage you to check out Jones' full write-up, which also includes his thoughts on the tourney hopes of the Saint Joseph's Hawks (we'll give you a hint, SJU has a slightly better resume than Drexel, but one that's still pretty weak).
To put things quickly in perspective, we offer this quote from Jones' piece from CBS college basketball guru Jerry Palm:

“They (Drexel) just have too many bad losses to overcome when they don't have a win over anyone who's a sure thing to make the bracket.

“I honestly think VCU is a better at-large candidate than Drexel, despite Drexel winning the league. VCU beat South Florida which is probably making the field. They won at Akron (71). They beat Northern Iowa (62). Those are all better out-of-conference wins than anything Drexel has.”

No surprise, VCU will more than likely be standing in Drexel's way in the CAA final. We should also mention that the tournament is played in VCU's backyard of Richmond, VA.
But before Drexel can worry about VCU, they will have to contend with ODU. The Dragons bested the Monarchs by just a single point, 73-72, on the final day of the regular season (Feb. 25). With an 18-game win streak on the line, every game is a potential letdown.
20 in a row will guarantee the Dragons a place in the NCAA tournament. But just 18 or even 19 could leave them out of the selection committee's final bracket.
So, yeah, today is a good day to start watching.

The Sixers without Joel Embiid: Still just the Sixers

The Sixers without Joel Embiid: Still just the Sixers

Well, if anyone hoped the Sixers' performance at game's end against Portland on Friday night -- with Joel Embiid riding the bench, ruled out for the game's remainder with a left knee contusion -- would carry over to an entirely Embiid-less game again Saturdaynight... I guess you're not alone, 'coz I sorta did. Perhaps it shouldn't have been particularly surprising to see that the Sixers were still the same team last night in Atlanta they were the previous Saturday against the Wizards: good enough to hang against an above-average East team, but not nearly good enough to actually win. 

At least they kept this one closer longer. Normally, against the Hawks, once the single-digit lead in the first half balloons into the double-digit lead in the third quarter, it never deflates back, but this time we cut it down to seven a couple times -- just never hitting that one big shot that would've really made things interesting, ultimately losing 110-93. It doesn't help that Nik Stauskas is in the midst of one of his most refrigerated runs as a Sixer, going just 7-30 (3-16 from deep) over Philly's last five games, or that Dario Saric is similarly bricking shots near and wide, a remarkable 2 for 22 over his last couple contests. 

This, sadly, is a primary reason why the Sixers' playoff hopes, while fun to dream about, are still unlikely to be more than a flicker. Over the next few weeks, the Sixers have a trio of back-to-backs coming up, with the back-end games coming against Milwaukee, Sacramento and San Antonio -- none of which Philly, 2-12 without their star center, are probable to win sans JoJo. Even if they can take care of business with Embiid on the court, it'll be tough to make up the ground that the Sons of Sam need to while they have to drop one every three or four games as Joel sits. 

That's fine, though. This season's been super-fun, but we shouldn't get too far ahead of ourselves: Let's ensure Embiid's health, maybe get Ben Simmons out there too, secure a nice draft pick or two (though the plummeting Kings could be of significant help with that themselves), and focus on making next year even more of a thing. The future remains impossibly bright, even if the present is going to have to be borderline-unwatchable once or twice a week.

Flyers-Islanders 5 things: Still trying to clean up mistakes after bye week

Flyers-Islanders 5 things: Still trying to clean up mistakes after bye week

Flyers (22-19-6) at Islanders (19-17-8)
6 p.m. – CSN/CSNPhilly.com and streaming live on the NBCSports app; Pregame Live begins at 5:30.
 
The struggling Flyers head north Sunday night to battle the Metropolitan Division rival Islanders at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
 
Let’s take a closer look at Sunday’s matchup.
 
1. New week, same Flyers
Those hoping the Flyers would be a refreshed, recharged team after the bye week met a harsh reality Saturday night.
 
The Flyers were blown out of the Wells Fargo Center in a 4-1 loss to the Devils that saw the same things continue to haunt the home team — defensive breakdowns and a lack of offense, among other things.
 
It’s no secret this season is quickly slipping away from the Flyers. They’ve lost their hold on the last wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference to the upstart Maple Leafs and the Hurricanes, Panthers and Devils are breathing right down the Flyers’ backs. To pile on the good news, every other team in the East is within four points of the Flyers, including the last-place Isles, who have 46 points compared to the Flyers’ 50 points.
 
Needless to say, the margin for error is all but gone.
 
This has been said many times recently, but the emphasis still hasn’t waned — if the Flyers want to save this season, it has to start with the next game.
 
2. What’s the mindset?
Michal Neuvirth, who was pulled before the third period of Saturday’s game for “precautionary reasons,” had a striking quote after the loss to the Devils.
 
“When you lose so many games, you lose confidence,” he told reporters.
 
He’s not kidding, and further proof of that came in the loss to the Devils, when the game was tied 1-1. In the second period, Radko Gudas was whistled for a clipping penalty and, boy, was it an awful call. It was nothing more than a hard hip check, aka a solid hockey play. Gudas got the two-minute minor and then Wayne Simmonds received an extra two minutes for unsportsmanlike conduct for protesting the call, giving Jersey a full two-man advantage.
 
Predictably, the Devils scored to take the lead. Also predictably, the Flyers unraveled after that point.
 
It just seems lately that when something goes wrong for the Flyers, it all goes wrong for the Flyers. And that’s a troubling trend.

3. Changes in Brooklyn
Superstar John Tavares is still there, but beside that, plenty has changed since the Flyers and Islanders last met, a 3-2 Flyers shootout win in November at the Barclays Center.
 
No more Jack Capuano behind the Isles’ bench, as he was recently canned amidst his team’s struggles. Assistant general manager Doug Weight, whom you may remember from his not so distant playing days, is the interim head coach for the Isles.
 
Remember goalie Jaroslav Halak, who started the two teams’ first meeting? It’s no longer his net in Brooklyn, as he’s had a falling out with the club, lost the starting job to Thomas Greiss and was recently put on waivers.
 
And the Isles have responded positively to the changes, as they’ve won three in a row heading into Sunday night’s contest. The last-place moniker is misleading because the Isles are still just five points out of the final wild-card spot and still have tons of talent.
 
4. Keep an eye on …
Flyers: Let’s go with Travis Konecny. Let’s just say the Flyers are in need of an energy jolt these days and the rook has just the type of skillset to provide it. He scored his team’s only goal Saturday against the Devils and isn’t afraid to throw his body around if need be. He also scored against the Isles earlier this season. He’s now up to eight goals and 14 assists on the season.
 
Islanders: It has got to be John Tavares. The guy is an absolute star, but still could fit into the “underrated” or “under the radar” categories just because he plays for the Isles. I mean, check out this goal he scored earlier this year against St. Louis. Holy moly. While you’re at it, get a glimpse of this one he scored against Dallas last week. He’s got 19 goals and 17 assists on the year. In his career against the Flyers, he’s got 15 goals and 13 assists for 28 points, the third-most points he’s tallied against any team in the NHL.
 
5. This and that
• In a scheduling quirk, Sunday evening will mark the fourth straight time the Flyers and Islanders will play in Brooklyn. They haven’t met in Philadelphia in over a full calendar year — Jan. 9, 2016, a 4-0 Flyers win

• Sunday is the second of four meetings between the teams this season. They’ll also play Feb. 9 and March 30, both times in South Philly.

• Greiss will start in net for the Isles on Sunday. He’s recorded shutouts in his last two starts. For the season, he's 12-7-2 with a .927 save percentage and a 2.29 goals-against average.

• Reinforcements could be on the way Sunday for the Islanders, as forward Cal Clutterbuck (lower-body) and defenseman Johnny Boychuk (upper-body) could be ready to return to the lineup after injuries.

• Sunday’s game will be the second of a back-to-back set for both teams. The Flyers are 6-3-2 this year in such situations.

• The Flyers’ ugly road losing streak is up to nine games. A loss Sunday would make it a not-so-perfect 10.