Recent history says the Phillies are finished

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Recent history says the Phillies are finished

It's the third day of June and the Phillies are seven games under .500 (see story). At 24-31, they have their worst record through 55 games since 2002.

After dropping four of five to the Mets at home, the Phils are 6½ games out of first place in the National League East. For a few weeks, the talk was that despite the Phils' ineptitude on the diamond, no team in the division was running away with it and, because of that, the Phils were still very much alive.

But the first-place Braves have won three straight and the Phillies have lost three straight. The deficit is 6½ games, and that's without the Braves and Nationals playing up to their capabilities. The eternal optimist looks at this situation and says that deficit is not insurmountable. But realistically, Atlanta and Washington are bound to get hot. And there's a good chance the Phillies wasted their best opportunity to contend, missing out on a two-month window to gain leverage in the division.

Somehow, the Phils have looked even worse than their record. They've been outscored by 41, giving them the third-worst run differential in the majors.

Carlos Ruiz called Monday's 11-2 loss "embarrassing." The mood in the clubhouse was so somber that a drop of water from a faucet would have made heads turn (see Instant Replay).

We're not even close to magic number territory, but the Phillies sure look to be out of it.

Here's why:

The Phillies are seven games under .500. From 2008 to 2013, there were 44 teams at least seven games under .500 at the end of play on June 2. Only five of those 44 teams finished above .500.

Forget about making the playoffs ... 39 of those 44 teams failed to finish with a winning record.

So you're saying there's a chance?

Hardly. Those five teams were exceptions.

The 2013 Dodgers were one of them. They had a run of 42 wins in 50 games.

The 2013 Royals were another. They went on a nine-game run in the second half.

The 2012 Athletics were well under .500 on June 2. But right after the All-Star break, Oakland won 10 of 11. And for good measure, the A's won nine in a row at the end of August.

The 2010 White Sox won 11 straight in June.

And the 2009 Rockies won 17 of 18 from June 4 to June 22.

Have the 2014 Phillies done anything through the first third of the season to show they can go on such a run?

Their longest winning streak this season is three games. Barring a string of nine consecutive wins beginning Tuesday in Washington, the Phils will reach at least 230 games without being two games over .500. That number continues to grow.

The offense is stagnant. The starting pitching is mediocre. The bullpen has been better of late, but still lacks quality in the final few spots. The defense? Jimmy Rollins has still got it at short, Ruiz calls a game and blocks balls well, and Chase Utley and Marlon Byrd have above-average range despite their miscues Monday. Aside from that, every other spot is weak defensively.

Just doesn't have the makings of a winning team.

Utley said after Monday's loss that he thinks the Phillies "can get better at everything."

He's right. But the Phillies don't have four months to click. They have five or six weeks, and then it's trade season, one that looks like it will favor sellers.

Instant Replay: Marlins 11, Phillies 1

Instant Replay: Marlins 11, Phillies 1

BOX SCORE

MIAMI — The Phillies came within one out of being shut out for the second time in as many games in an embarrassing 11-1 loss to the Miami Marlins on Wednesday afternoon.

The Marlins roughed up Zach Eflin, who fell to 3-4 on the season.

The Marlins beat the Phils, 5-0, Tuesday night. A garbage-time RBI double by Cesar Hernandez with two outs in the ninth prevented the Phils from being shut out in consecutive games for the first time since July 8-9, 2015, when Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke got the wins at Dodger Stadium.

The Phillies are 4-9 in 13 games since the All-Star break. They are averaging just 2.6 runs in those games.

The Marlins are 55-46. They entered the day in second place in the NL East, four games behind Washington.

Starting pitching report
Eflin had pitched brilliantly in the month of July — he entered with a 1.80 ERA in four starts this month — but his success ended as the Marlins tagged him for nine hits, including a homer and two triples, and seven runs in five-plus innings.

Eflin had pitched a three-hit shutout at Pittsburgh in his previous start.

Lefty Adam Conley pitched 6⅔ shutout innings, scattered eight hits, walked three and struck out six. He pitched out of bases-loaded trouble twice.

Bullpen report
Andrew Bailey struggled. He faced three batters and gave up two hits, a walk and a run before Brett Oberholtzer cleaned up the sixth inning.

The Marlins eventually got to Oberholtzer for three runs in the eighth. The lefty picked up three innings to protect the bullpen.

At the plate
The Phillies did have 10 hits in the game, but they left the bases loaded twice and stranded 11 runners in all.

The Phils went 2 for 21 with runners in scoring position in the three-game series.

The Marlins got to Eflin early. They scored three runs in the first inning. The rally was highlighted by Giancarlo Stanton’s 22nd homer, a two-run laser beam to left that exited the bat at 112 miles per hour.

Don Kelly had a pair of triples against Eflin and scored two runs. One of the triples drove in two runs.

The Marlins had 16 hits.

Ejected
Bench coach Larry Bowa got the boot for arguing a called third strike on Cameron Rupp in the fourth inning.

Health check
Peter Bourjos' injured right shoulder could send him to the disabled list Thursday as the Phillies make room for Aaron Altherr.

Up next
The Phillies open a four-game series in Atlanta on Thursday night. Here are the pitching matchups:

Thursday night — RHP Aaron Nola (5-9, 4.75) vs. RHP Matt Wisler (4-10, 4.92)

Friday night — RHP Vince Velasquez (8-2, 3.34) vs. RHP Tyrell Jenkins (0-2, 6.17)

Saturday night — RHP Jeremy Hellickson (7-7, 3.65) vs. RHP Julio Teheran (3-8, 2.71)

Sunday afternoon — RHP Jerad Eickhoff (6-12, 3.83) vs. RHP Lucas Harrell (2-2, 3.38)

MLB Notes: Nationals place Stephen Drew on DL

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MLB Notes: Nationals place Stephen Drew on DL

CLEVELAND -- Unable to figure out what's making Stephen Drew dizzy, the Washington Nationals placed the veteran infielder on the 15-day disabled list Wednesday.

Drew has played just once in the past week, delivering a walk-off triple to give Washington a win over San Diego on Saturday. Manager Dusty Baker said the 33-year-old Drew has been experiencing vertigo-like symptoms and the team is sending him back to Washington for more medical tests.

"He wasn't getting any better," Baker said before the Nationals concluded their two-game interleague series with the Indians. "He was dizzy. He was kind of worried and didn't know what it was because he's had two concussions, but he hadn't had anything that would have caused another concussion. Whenever you feel woozy and dizzy and don't get any better, that's a pretty good indication that something's wrong."

Drew sat out several days last week because he was feeling ill. He's in his first season with the Nationals, who signed him as a free agent in January (see full story).

Padres: Solarte placed on family leave list
TORONTO -- The San Diego Padres made a few roster moves before Wednesday's game against the Blue Jays, recalling utilityman Alexi Amarista and left-hander Buddy Baumann from Triple-A El Paso.

The newcomers replace outfielder Melvin Upton Jr., who was traded to Toronto on Tuesday, and third baseman Yangervis Solarte, who was placed on the family leave list and will miss from three to seven days.

Solarte is batting .290 with 10 home runs and 40 RBIs.

This is Amarista's fourth stint with the Padres this season. The six-year veteran is batting .239 with no homers and seven RBIs in 45 games.

Baumann joins the Padres for the second time. He made his major league debut with 1-3 of an inning against San Francisco on July 16, retiring Brandon Crawford on one pitch.

Peter Bourjos 'still sore,' likely headed to DL with right shoulder injury

Peter Bourjos 'still sore,' likely headed to DL with right shoulder injury

MIAMI – A stint on the disabled list looks likely for Peter Bourjos, who injured his right shoulder running into the outfield wall while making a catch Tuesday night.

“It’s not any worse, but it’s still sore,” Bourjos reported Wednesday morning.

Bourjos sounded pessimistic when asked if he thought he could avoid a trip to the disabled list.
 
“I don’t know,” he said.
 
Bourjos indicated that he has some range of motion issues.
 
Assistant general manager Scott Proefrock said the team would continue to evaluate Bourjos and provide further word Thursday.

Bourjos’ injury comes with outfielder Aaron Altherr’s minor-league rehab stint expiring on Wednesday. Altherr is expected to be activated Thursday. Bourjos could end up going on the DL to make room for Altherr.

Phillies officials had been considering a number of ways to make room for Altherr. One of them was trading Bourjos. That option is now on hold, though Bourjos could still be moved in a waiver deal in August if he's healthy.