Ten Biggest Questions for the Sixers Off-Season: No. 10. Where Are We Now (And Where Are We Going)?

Ten Biggest Questions for the Sixers Off-Season: No. 10. Where Are We Now (And Where Are We Going)?

Over the rest of the playoffs, while 16 teams compete for the Larry
O'Brien trophy--none of which are the Philadelphia 76ers--I'll be taking
some time to focus on the long off-season that the Sixers have ahead of
themselves, and the many burning questions that face them as they
attempt to recover from the most disastrous season of the post-Iverson
era. I'll be addressing the ten biggest of those questions, counting
down from ten to one, with the most-biggest hopefully coming around the
time that it's actually time for the wheeling and dealing to begin.


Most of the ten questions are specific ones, but for #10, I wanted
to kick off with something more general, a question that will influence
the decisions behind every other question on this list: What's the deal
with the Philadelphia 76ers? This season was so incredibly confusing,
with so many things going unexpectedly wrong (and a rare couple actually
going unexpectedly right) that it's almost impossible to actually gauge
where this team is at right now. And if you can't gauge where the team
is, it's impossible to have a sense of where the team's going, and how
to get them there.


So let's take a minute to assess what the Sixers have going for them
at the moment--which Michael Levin of Liberty Ballers has gone on
record is just saying "Jrue and short-term contracts," but I think that
sells us a tiny bit short. I'd say that our assets, in both a specific
and overarching sense, are as follows, in descending order of worth:


1. Jrue Holiday
2. Cap space (estimated at about $11 million this off-season, assuming free agents walk)
3. Short-term contracts (only Thaddeus Young, Jason Richardson and Jrue Holiday currently last beyond next year)

4. Thaddeus Young
5. High-pedigree players with arguable remaining upside (Evan Turner, Spencer Hawes, sorta Arnett Moultrie)
6. A decent pick (#11 if outside the lottery) in the upcoming draft
7. The sign-and-trade rights to Andrew Bynum


It's not a ton, but it's not a terrible place to start from, either.
It's arguably a better situation than the Sixers found themselves in
four years ago, when they had cashed in all their remaining cap space on
signing Elton Brand and extending Andre Iguodala, only to end up as
mediocre as ever. At the very least, the Sixers have options, and can
use some combination of those seven assets (particularly #s 2-7, since
#1 is the most unlikely to be shifted) to move forward in a specific
direction, without finding themselves stuck in the middle with Jrue.


Of course, the question then becomes: What direction do we go in?
The way I see it, teams like the Sixers have three possible answers to
this:

1. Going all in--spending our remaining cap space on the
biggest fishes in free agency, trading our more moveable assets for
firmer core pieces, and attempting to make a run at the Eastern
Conference as soon as next season.

2. Biding time--doing more what we did last off-season, signing
low-cost, low-impact players on short-term deals that help us tread
water in the middle of the pack, keeping our personnel and financial
flexibility as we wait around for another MegaDeal to present itself.

3. Rebuilding completely--stripping down of all but our most essential
player personnel (arguably everyone but Jrue), clearing the books and
hoarding as many young prospects and draft picks as possible, and
looking to be competitive again three or four years down the line.


All three approaches have their advantages and disadvantages, and
none of them are likely to be totally satisfying to the fans, the
players or the front office. And of course, all of it hinges first and
foremost on what the Sixers already know and what they will continue to
find out about the Funny-Looking Kid With the Big Hair, and whether
resigning him is an option that will be a gigantic first domino to fall,
starting an off-season chain reaction that will essentially dictate
every decision the team makes between now and October.


But assuming Bynum's a no-go--and we'll talk about that possibility
more later on, natch--I would hope option #1 is out for the Sixers. You
could say that circumstances were against them this season and they're
not actually as bad as they looked, but I don't think even the most
optimistic of Sixers fans would say that the team could add any one
player likely to be available in free agency besides Bynum (and very
arguably not even Bynum) and instantly become a serious competitor in
the East. They're unlikely to be able to turn any of their low-cost,
medium-upside players into a difference-maker, and very likely, they'd
end up tapping themselves out at the 5th or 6th best team in the East,
while exhausting all their remaining assets to do so. No thanks.


More likely, it seems like the team will either tread water for a
bit or rebuild completely. The latter would be a tough sell to a fanbase
who just last off-season was expecting their team to actually be able
to compete with the Heat, and is already incredible short on good will,
and it's hard to imagine Aron and DiLeo and company quite having the
stomach for it. If I were a betting man, I'd say the team goes with
option #2, eschewing making any long-term commitments, hoping that their
young core either grows into something real or at least ups the trade
value of the respective pieces considerably, and trying to stay
competitive enough to at least be in the playoff hunt for the season.
It's not very sexy, and it might not be the most productive long-term
play, but it's probably the most practical option for this team right
now.


It's cold comfort to say after a season like the one we just had
that things could always be worse, but for the Sixers, they really
could--they're a team with young, reasonably priced talent and
legitimate maneuverability, which is the second-best place you can be in
in the NBA, next to actually having really good players. If they have
to rebuild, they don't have to totally start again from zero, like the
Magic or Bobcats are doing, and if they decide to go for the playoffs,
they're closer than the Kings or Pistons to getting there. But there's
still a long way to go and not a ton of room for error, and if the
Sixers aren't careful, they could end up staring down another four or
five seasons of basketball with results depressingly similar to this
season.

End to End: Who will Flyers protect, lose in expansion draft?

End to End: Who will Flyers protect, lose in expansion draft?

Throughout the offseason, we'll ask questions about the Flyers to our resident hockey analysts and see what they have to say.

Going End to End today are CSNPhilly.com producers/reporters Tom Dougherty, Jordan Hall and Greg Paone.

The topic: The expansion draft, who to protect and best guesses at Vegas' selection.

Dougherty
We have and will continue to discuss in detail the entry draft, but we haven't talked much about the June 21 expansion draft. That's what we're doing today.

The expansion draft will affect the Flyers' plans this summer because they will be losing a player to Vegas, but the impact will be a minimum. They will not lose any core pieces.

How the expansion draft works: Teams have two options in protecting players. They can either protect seven forwards, three defensemen and one goalie, or eight skaters and one goalie. The expectation is the Flyers will protect seven forwards, three D-men and a goalie.

There are six forwards and two defensemen who are obvious protections: Claude Giroux, Wayne Simmonds, Jakub Voracek, Sean Couturier, Brayden Schenn, Valtteri Filppula, Shayne Gostisbehere and Radko Gudas. Ivan Provorov and Travis Konecny are exempt.

Flyers general manager Ron Hextall will have decisions to make on who the seventh forward and third defenseman he protects. Then there is the goalie protection.

That leaves forwards Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Nick Cousins, Taylor Leier, Scott Laughton, Michael Raffl, Matt Read, Jordan Weal and Dale Weise; and defensemen Andrew MacDonald and Brandon Manning.

Losing any of those six forwards would not be major blows to the Flyers. Now on the blue line, it gets interesting. My prediction is that the Flyers will choose to protect Manning with the hope Vegas takes MacDonald's contract.

Probably isn't going to happen.

Of the goalies, I don't think Vegas will have any interest in Anthony Stolarz, especially since he tore his right MCL in April. So that should cut the question here. That would mean the Flyers protect Michal Neuvirth, whom they signed to a two-year extension.

So what is my best guess at who Vegas plucks from the Flyers?

I think it will be a toss-up between Laughton and Raffl. I suspect the Flyers will re-sign Weal before the draft and then protect him, or have a verbal understanding they'll sign him after the expansion draft. Both parties appeared interested in him coming back.

My pick? Let's go with Laughton, a former first-round pick who turns 23 on Tuesday.

Laughton hasn't panned out as the Flyers hoped. He spent last season in Lehigh Valley and both Leier and Weal earned call-ups over him. I think that is a telling sign here.

So I'm predicting Laughton going to Vegas, where a change of scenery helps him out and the Golden Knights get a young forward that can slot into a third- or fourth-line role and still has upside.

Hall
There's a lot to the expansion draft — tons of possibilities and things can still change before June 21 that could impact the Flyers' decisions.

Albeit unlikely, Steve Mason could re-sign, which would obviously affect the Flyers' protection plan at goalie. Assuming that doesn't happen, I think the Flyers protect Neuvirth, especially considering Stolarz's health is in question this offseason and he may not be the true goalie of the future. Stolarz is also a pending restricted free agent, so he'll have to receive his qualifying offer from the Flyers before the expansion draft.

Now, let's say the Flyers go with the seven-forward, three-defensemen approach.

The blueliners are pretty clear: Gostisbehere and Gudas will be protected, as it comes down to MacDonald and Manning. I feel the organization thinks a bit more of MacDonald and his versatility compared to Manning, whose two-year deal last summer was likely strategic on the Flyers' part in planning for this expansion draft.

As for the forwards, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Filppula and Couturier are staying put. I believe Weal will be re-signed and protected.

Ultimately, I could see Raffl being Vegas' choice. At 28 years old, he's not super young or inexperienced, but also not old by any means, and the winger can play all four lines because of a well-rounded game that complements different styles.

Raffl's injuries last season (abdominal, knee) may cause red flags. At the same time, the Golden Knights should be intrigued by the two seasons prior in which Raffl played all 82 games of 2015-16 (and was a plus-9) after scoring a career-high 21 goals in 2014-15.

A loss of Raffl wouldn't be ideal, but not as damaging given the Flyers appear to be gaining more depth and youth at forward.

Paone
June 21's expansion draft will be the biggest wild card of the NHL summer. And that's not just some corny pun because it involves an expansion team from Vegas.

It'll be the first piece of player movement during the offseason, coming before the entry draft and free agency. But since it will be the first piece of player movement of the offseason, it will help mold how the Flyers and the rest of the teams around the league approach their summers.

None of the Flyers' "big guns" will be on the move and my gut tells me the Flyers will be protecting Neuvirth as they want him to shoulder the starting load this coming season.

We don't know exactly what Vegas is looking for in the expansion draft because general manager George McPhee is keeping that close to the vest. But if I'm the Golden Knights' GM, youth is at the top of my wish list.

That leaves three Flyers to stick out in my mind — Weal (25), Cousins (turns 24 in June) and Laughton (turns 23 on Tuesday).

After the sparkplug Weal was down the stretch with eight goals and four assists in 23 games, the Flyers should reach a new deal with the UFA and keep him in Philadelphia.

That leaves Cousins and Laughton.

My instinct tells me Vegas will gamble (sorry, still getting used to this whole Vegas having a team thing) on Laughton, a former first-round pick.

There's a reason he was a first-rounder in 2012. The guy can play, even if he hasn't shown it consistently in Philadelphia. But remember he's been yanked back and forth between the AHL and NHL on numerous occasions and when he's been with the big club, he's either been in the press box as a scratch or been tossed back and forth between center and wing. That constant instability in both level and position can be detrimental to a young player. Vegas would give Laughton a fresh start, a fresh home and some fresh stability.

Plus, I know there are only so many protections to go around, but Cousins is a guy the Flyers should want to keep around. Just 16 points (six points, 10 assists) in 60 games isn't good enough offensively, but not many Flyers were great offensively last season. Everyone needs to be better there. But Cousins has that pest intangible that can be so effective, especially in the rugged Metropolitan Division, where basically every game is a rivalry game. It's a good quality to have.

Phillies-Reds 5 things: Skidding Phils take on veteran Bronson Arroyo

Phillies-Reds 5 things: Skidding Phils take on veteran Bronson Arroyo

Phillies (16-30) vs. Reds (23-24)
4:05 p.m. on TCN; streaming live on CSNPhilly.com and the NBC Sports App

Tim Adleman and the Reds shut down the Phillies in Friday night's series opener, dealing the Phillies a 5-2 defeat. It was the Phillies' 21st loss in 26 games (see full story).

Jerad Eickhoff takes the ball for the Phillies on Saturday, trying to get both the team and his own season back on track. Veteran Bronson Arroyo takes the start for the Reds.

Here are five things to know for the game:

1. Worst in baseball
The loss on Friday paired with the Marlins' win over the Angels gave the Phillies sole possession of the worst record in baseball. 

The loss to the Reds was enough to make manager Pete Mackanin call a team meeting with the Phillies hitting a definitive low at 16-30. The 2016 squad didn't fall 14 games under .500 for the first time until Sept. 2. The Phillies are 5-18 in May and have scored 86 runs compared to 131 by opponents. 

Many of the games recently haven't even been close. Six of the losses this month were by at least five runs. The team brought the tying run to the plate on Friday, but it was behind 5-0 and had just one hit going into the ninth. 

The offense has gone silent in the last six games, scoring no more than two runs each time out. In five of their last six, the Phillies have faced a starter with an ERA above 5.00 who proceeded to throw at least five innings and give up one run or fewer. Adleman was the latest to victimize the Phils (see story).

The bright side? The upcoming schedule is much more palatable for the squad. After the Reds, the Phillies face the Marlins, Giants and Braves for 10 games. Those three teams have a combined record of 57-85 this year and the Phillies went 5-0 against the Marlins and Braves in April.

2. 10th time's the charm?
Nine starts into his second full MLB season, Eickhoff hasn't found the right stuff ... or a win. In 51 2/3 innings, he's 0-5 with 4.70 ERA. 

Why the slow start? First off, Eickhoff had some control issues. He's gone from a more than palatable 1.9 to a less stellar 3.1 walks per nine innings. Beyond dishing out free passes, he has a 1.43 WHIP, up from 1.16 last season. Still, his 3.77 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) indicates he shouldn't have struggled quite this much. 

Looking further into the numbers, Eickhoff has allowed more infield and bunt hits this season than he did on a rate basis last year. He's induced less weak contact, which could be part of his issue. Still, he's thrown 300 MLB innings over 50 starts and has a 3.66 ERA. It's hard to believe his true talent level isn't closer to his 3.65 ERA over 197 1/3 innings last year than his out-of-character 4.70 mark this season.

He faced the Reds just once before, taking a loss in the Phillies' second game of the year. It seems a while ago now, but Eickhoff started the year with three quality starts, including a two-run, six-strikeout game over 6 2/3 in Cincinnati. The Reds' batters have four extra-base hits against him and he's allowed home runs to Joey Votto and Scooter Gennett. Gennett's HR came as a member of the Milwaukee Brewers.

3. Arroyo back in action
You're forgiven if you didn't think Arroyo was still in baseball. He was injured and didn't pitch in either the 2015 or 2016 season. Despite being a non-entity on the field, he was still traded twice, going from the Diamondbacks to the Braves to the Dodgers, who immediately released him. 

At 40 years old, Arroyo is easily hittable now. The right-hander never threw very hard but now tops out at 87 mph, averaging 83-84 with his fastball. Like many soft-tossers, he constantly uses his off-speed stuff. He's heavily reliant on his curveball and slider, both of which are in the 70s. 

Hitters against Arroyo have been home run happy with 15 dingers this year over just 46 2/3 innings. Those 2.9 HR per nine innings are near three times as many as Eickhoff, who has struggled with the long ball at times over the past few seasons. The 15 home runs play a large part in his 6.75 ERA as batters hit plenty of flyballs vs. Arroyo. It doesn't help that he has a 1.479 WHIP. 

Among current Phillies, only Freddy Galvis (1 for 7) and Andres Blanco (1 for 3) have faced him. His career against the Phillies dates all the way back to three starts in 2000. Over 14 games (13 starts), he's 4-7 with a 5.14 ERA in 77 innings against the Phils. He's just the second starter after Bartolo Colon to pitch at Citizens Bank Park this season that also faced the Phillies at Veterans Stadium.

Arroyo is fourth among active pitchers in starts and fifth in innings pitched. 

4. Players to watch
Phillies: Moved into the leadoff spot on Friday, Odubel Herrera put together a few strong at-bats, finally coming through with a hit in the ninth inning to snap an 0-for-13 stretch.

Reds: Scott Schebler hit his 14th home run of the season off Aaron Nola in the second inning Friday. In just his third season, Schebler had just 12 homers in his career before 2017.

5. This and that
• Howie Kendrick made his third rehab appearance in Triple A Lehigh Valley Friday, going 1 for 4. He played all nine innings in left field. The IronPigs won, 5-4, with Nick Williams hitting a home run. Williams, J.P. Crawford and Jorge Alfaro each had two-hit nights.

• The Phillies haven't won a season series vs. the Reds since 2012 (10-18 since the start of 2013). However, the Reds are 16-30 at CBP and haven't won a series in Philadelphia since Aug. 2006.

• According to the Elias Sports Bureau, on April 18 this year, Arroyo became the first Reds pitcher older than 40 to win a start since Boom-Boom Beck beat the Phillies, 8-1, on May 31, 1945.

• The Reds are the only team in baseball with four hitters (Votto, Schebler, Eugenio Suarez and Adam Duvall) who have at least 10 home runs.